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HAWAII: Organizations listed use different projection model(s), underlying assumptions and data collection methods to formulate their forecasts. |
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University of Hawaii – Economic Research Organization (UHERO) |
UHERO's mission is to inform public- and private-sector economic decision-making through quantitative and analytical research with a particular focus on the economies of Hawai'i and the Asia-Pacific region. UHERO provides a forum for interaction between scholars, public policy makers and business leaders on economic policy choices and facilitates the collaborative efforts of UH economists with other scholars. UHERO research associates support this mission by conducting substantive research which is widely disseminated to the public. |
http://www.uhero.hawaii.edu/
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Hawaii State Department of Business & Economic Development (DBEDT) |
DBEDT provides the economic and statistical expertise that guides State economic development efforts. It generates important information for business and industry about their markets and the economic forces shaping the future. DBEDT, through its Research & Economic Analysis Division (READ), also runs the State's visitor statistics program, which develops and distributes information on the roughly 7 million tourist and business visitors who come to the islands annually. |
http://hawaii.gov/dbedt |
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Hawaii State Department of Labor & Industrial Relations (DLIR) |
Hawaii's source for labor market information --
contains wage, employment, job, and training
information.
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http://www.hiwi.org/
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State Council on Revenues |
The Council on Revenues, established under section 37-111, Hawaii Revised Statutes, prepares revenue estimates of the state government for each fiscal year of the six-year state program and financial plan.
The Council reports its latest revenue forecast to the governor and the legislature on June 1, September 10, January 10, and March 15 of each year. In addition, the Council prepares estimates of the state total personal income for such calendar years as are necessary for establishing the state expenditure ceiling.
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http://hawaii.gov/tax/a9_1cor.htm
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Bank of Hawaii (BOH) -- Economics Department |
Bank of Hawaii has been reporting on economic conditions in Hawaii and the Pacific Region for more than 50 years. Economic information is provided by Paul Brewbaker. Bank of Hawaii is the premier source for analysis of economic and business trends in the State of Hawaii and the Pacific Region.
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https://www.boh.com/econ/512_index.asp
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First Hawaiian Bank (FHB) – Economic Forecast Newsletter |
Periodic newsletter featuring economic forecasts. |
http://www.fhb.com/about-econ.htm#2007/2008
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NATIONAL/INTERNATIONAL: Organizations listed use different projection model(s), underlying assumptions and data collection methods to formulate their forecasts. |
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Congressional Budget Office (CBO) |
CBO's mandate is to provide the Congress with:
- Objective, nonpartisan, and timely analyses to aid in economic and budgetary decisions on the wide array of programs covered by the federal budget and
- The information and estimates required for the Congressional budget process.
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http://www.cbo.gov/
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The Federal Reserve Board |
The primary responsibility of the Board members is the formulation of monetary policy. The seven Board members constitute a majority of the 12-member Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the group that makes the key decisions affecting the cost and availability of money and credit in the economy. The other five members of the FOMC are Reserve Bank presidents, one of whom is the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. |
http://www.federalreserve.gov/
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Social Security Administration – Trustees' Report |
The major source of financing for Social Security is payroll taxes on earnings that are paid by employees and their employers. Short-range (10-year) and long-range (75-year) projections are reported for all funds. Estimates are based on current law and assumptions about factors that affect the income and outgo of each trust fund. Assumptions include economic growth, wage growth, inflation, unemployment, fertility, immigration, and mortality, as well as factors relating to disability incidence and the cost of hospital, medical, and prescription drug services.
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http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/
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University of Michigan – Consumer Expenditure Survey
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A widely cited source, the Consumer Expenditure Survey (CES) series (formerly called the Survey of Consumer Expenditures) provides a continuous flow of information on the buying habits of American consumers and also furnishes data to support periodic revisions of the Consumer Price Index.
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http://search.icpsr.umich.edu/ICPSR/query.html?col=abstract&op0=+&tx0=consumer expenditure survey series&ty0=p&fl0=series:&op1=-&tx1=restricted&ty1=w&fl1=availability:&op2= &tx2=ICPSR&ty2=w&fl2=archive:&nh=50&rf=3
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University of Maryland -- Inforum |
Inforum, or the Interindustry Forecasting Project at the University of Maryland, was founded 40 years ago and is dedicated to improving business planning, government policy analysis, and the general understanding of the economic environment. Inforum accomplishes this mission through: • Building and using structural economic models of U.S. and other economies. Inforum pioneered the construction of dynamic, interindustry, macroeconomic models which portray the economy in a unique "bottom-up" fashion. • Working with government and private sector research sponsors to investigate a variety of issues. Economic projections and analysis using Inforum econometric models are distinguished by detail at the industrial and product level.
• Serving as a training crucible for University of Maryland graduate students who receive valuable training in empirical economics. Indeed, Inforum graduate research assistants have completed over 40 Ph.D. dissertations, most of which have contributed directly to the infrastructure of Inforum.
• Maintaining active and productive ties with a world-wide network of research associates, each of which uses Inforum modeling methods and software. The Inforum partners have held annual conferences since 1993.
In 2007, Inforum proudly celebrated its 40th anniversary. Since its founding in 1967 by Dr. Clopper Almon, Inforum has operated at the University of Maryland, serving clients in business and government and providing training for many university students, visiting scholars, and others. Inforum continues to foster cooperation and development of economic knowledge and techniques with partners around the world.
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http://inforumweb.umd.edu/services/models/lift.html
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The Conference Board |
The Conference Board is the world's preeminent business membership and research organization. The Conference Board produces respected indexes of economic indicators like the Leading Economic Index (LEI) and Coincident Economic Index (CEI), and the Consumer Confidence Index, the CEO Confidence Measure as well as individual indicators like the Help Wanted Online Data Series.
On June 9, 2008, The Conference Board launched the Employment Trends Index (ETI)™, the only publicly available leading composite index for employment. The Employment Trends Index (ETI)™ offers a short-term, forward look at employment on its own. It gives economists and investors a new forecasting tool. It also helps business executives sharpen their short- to medium-term hiring and compensation planning.
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http://www.conference-board.org/
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Global Insight |
Global Insight provides the most comprehensive economic, financial, and political coverage of countries, regions, and industries available from any source—covering over 200 countries and spanning more than approximately 170 industries—using a unique combination of expertise, models, data, and software within a common analytical framework to support planning and decision making.
Recognized as the most consistently accurate forecasting company in the world, Global Insight has over 3,800 clients in industry, finance, and government with revenues in excess of $100 million, 700 employees, and 25 offices in 14 countries covering North and South America, Europe, Africa, the Middle East, and Asia. |
http://www.globalinsight.com/
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U.S. Department of Labor –
Bureau of |
The Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS) program is a Federal-State cooperative effort in which monthly estimates of total employment and unemployment are prepared for approximately 7,300 areas…
These estimates are key indicators of local economic conditions. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) of the U.S. Department of Labor is responsible for the concepts, definitions, technical procedures, validation, and publication of the estimates that State employment security agencies prepare under agreement with BLS. |
http://www.bls.gov/LAU/
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International Labour Organization |
"The ILO was founded in 1919, in the wake of a destructive war, to pursue a vision based on the premise that universal, lasting peace can be established only if it is based upon decent treatment of working people. The ILO became the first specialized agency of the UN in 1946…
As the world's only tripartite multilateral agency, the ILO is dedicated to bringing decent work and livelihoods, job-related security and better living standards to the people of both poor and rich countries. ..
The ILO is the international meeting place for the world of work. We are the experts on work and employment and particularly on the critical role that these issues play in bringing about economic development and progress. At the heart of our mission is helping countries build the institutions that are the bulwarks of democracy and to help them become accountable to the people…"
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http://www.ilo.org/global/lang--en/index.htm
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